This morning, I had the pleasure of attending the breakfast with Peter Voser, CEO of Shell, where Mr. Voser illuminated Shell's position on climate change and energy security. Mr. Voser reiterated these two points: the significance of natural gas as the future of energy, and the crucial position that governments must play in regulation and progress.
Mr. Voser commenced the discussion with a summary of Shell's position:
- In the next 40 years, global energy consumption will double.
- Energy consumption per capita in the developing world will stay low.
- On the supply side, we need to refine technologies and make products more sustainable.
- On the demand side, we need regulations, and need to work on efficiencies: i.e. how you insulate your home, how you power your vehicle.
- There is a challenge on how fast we can develop our resources--like natural gas, the cleanest burning fossil fuel--for countries like China, who will be forced to use more coal.
- We need to work fast. These technologies need to be developed over the next few years.
- On natural gas: by 2012, Shell will produce more gas than oil. Natural gas is the energy of the future.
Mr. Voser then opened the floor to questions. Jackson Vanderhode, of Edmonton, Canada, asked Mr. Voser, "Where are the largest growth markets?" According to Mr. Voser, these are: Brasil, Australia, Kazakhstan, Russia, Africa's West Coast, Iran and Iraq. Canada is the second biggest oil resource, next to Saudi Arabia.
Another attendee asked a question in conjunction with what we learned from Jeffrey Sachs' presentation, regarding the reduction of consumption. This attendee asks, "Should there be a price of carbon?" Mr. Voser replied, "We are working in conjunction with the European Union. There is a market driven system that will lower CO2 consumption over time." He continues, "We need to invest in technology and innovation to meet these challenges." Mr. Voser added that the US is the only nation that can "build green energy with a somewhat decent return."
Richard Bound, of the NY Academy of Sciences comments "There is not a robust community formed, and that is what typically makes scientific breakthrough happen. How do we do this--form a community to work with science?" Mr. Voser advocates for academia, government and investors to work together. He says, "We need to get a clear legal framework [in which to] operate. We need to make a policy going forward that must be sponsored by governments. So far in the US, Shell thinks the talks with the administration are very encouraging, although some other oil companies might not agree with us." Most importantly, "We will not get to a solution without government," Voser declares.
An attendee from the Ukraine asked Mr. Voser to speak to corporate social responsibility and global social responsibility. Mr. Voser replied: "[Social responsibility] is very high on our priority list. We are applying social responsibility across the world. We help developing countries develop an energy responsibility policy. [We are helping developing countries] get both of their legs firmly on the ground, giving the developing world time to manage per capita energy consumption and climate change." Mr. Voser reiterates the significance of government participation as he continues, "We [Shell] can never replace the government, we can never replace social systems...we can only hope to help and influence legislation."
Mr. Voser concluded the breakfast with these closing remarks:
"The challenge [of the global energy crisis] is enormous. China, at this stage, is much further advanced than we all think...on the gas side, it is easy to sell them a supply for the next 20-30 years. We need to make all of the energy technologies that we have and bring them to China... Shell has been selling clean coal technologies to China. This does not solve the issue immediately, but helps to drive the right technologies, and helps us [apply] innovation."
He issues this caveat: "The worse that can happen is countries moving into isolation without regulation. We need a common base to work on energy resources."